Research programme

The MAP2030 Research Programme is using a number of linked simulation models to project up to 2030 the key determinants of the resources and needs of older people. The project is innovative in its collaborative approach to modelling, building upon models that have already been developed by members of the Research Team at their various institutions and bringing them together to improve the range of output that each of the models can produce.

The MAP2030 Programme is composed of five linked Work Packages, as is shown by the diagram. Collaboration between the Work Packages is being led by the aim of providing an integrated picture of the needs and resources of older people.

1. Mortality trends and their implications
2. Future disease patterns & their implications for disability in later life
3. Changing family units & kinship structure
4. Household & family resources
5. Projections of pensions, incomes, savings, care (paid & unpaid); expenditure on pensions & long-term care

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